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De Moment of Truth

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Note: This article is reproduced due to public demand, prevailing and present contending issues in  Nigerian context.
The APC as a political party is quite distinct from other political parties that existed and ruled in Nigeria. Unlike others, the party is made up of. ACN and CPC as the major constituents, and were drawn from two ethnic groups with diametrically opposed political philosophies.

Note: This article is reproduced due to public demand, prevailing and present contending issues in  Nigerian context.
The APC as a political party is quite distinct from other political parties that existed and ruled in Nigeria. Unlike others, the party is made up of. ACN and CPC as the major constituents, and were drawn from two ethnic groups with diametrically opposed political philosophies.


 While the Yorubas, represented by ACN are unrepentant true federalists, the Hausa Fulanis represented on the other side by CPC insist on the federalism which was distorted by the past military governments to their favor. It was later joined by the PDP splinter group.
Last week in this column, we discussed the topic of whether the Yorubas have acquiesced in their agitation for true federalism in view of their collaboration with the Hausa Fulanis during the 2015 general elections. Our discovery is that the Yorubas have rather warned President Muhammadu Okechukwu Buhari. MOB, that he must return Nigeria to the true federalism which existed at Nigeria's independence except he wants to lead Nigeria to disintegration. With this, it can convenient y be said therefore that the ACN component of APC is unlikely to abandon its sworn objective for true federalism.  This means that despite their collaboration in forming the APC government at the centre, the party is peopled by strange bed fellows and may not be far from being a government of commotions.
There is no doubt about it that the Buhari presidency is the making of ACN and that the party therefore wants to be calling the shots in the present regime whereas the other groups are also in the race to control the government. The stiff competition in APC for the control the government organs is such that it has created a high level of schism, with the ACN group feeling that it is now holding the short end of the stick. Frightened that it was losing grip of the government immediately the PDP group outwitted it and got its members elected as leaders of the national assembly, the ACN embarked on deft political maneuvers to reestablish it's supremacy It succeeded to label the PDP group as strangers who must be driven out of the APC scheme. The upheavals which, the internal wrangling will cause are sure to keep the Buhari government in constant earthquakes. The signs of tribulations which will frequently confront the Buhari government have already started appearing.
The first in the series and in fact the first examination to test the ability and capacity of President Buhari to manage the deluge of coming crises is the prosecution of the Senate President, Dr. Bukola Saraki by the Code of Conduct Tribunal, CCT, over allegations of inaccurate declaration of assets in 2003. Several commentators have accused the ACN group as being behind dusting a case which was forgotten about twelve years ago and Saraki also supports the suspicion through newspaper advert by his aides. The speculation is that ACN wants Saraki to be indicted and then latch onto it for his impeachment as Senate President, but that is not the issue here. The issue is that the continued trial of the Senate President is not only absurd, it is scandalous, embarrassing as well as self-destructive. In the quest to remove Senator Bukola Saraki as the senate President and replace him with a member of their group, the ACN part of APC has thrown, caution to the wind, forgetting the dire consequences of such an action. The ACN group appears to have suddenly forgotten that Saraki's PDP holds the ace in the APC ruled federal government. Their actions goes to demonstrate the extent of bickering in APC, how the party would not mind smiting its nose in order to spite its face and how they work at cross purposes. The absurdity of it all is evident in the flaws which legal professionals have observed in the procedure of the prosecution and which they have also brought to the public domain. If indeed the Code of Conduct Bureau breached the laws as alleged in newspaper publications, will that not give Saraki a leeway for legal fireworks to free himself like Tinubu did with it in 2012? If circumvention of the law will eventually let Saraki off the hook, then why the noise over a trial obviously conceived ab initio to be an exercise in futility? Is it not embarrassing to the Buhari government, known for its anticorruption stance, that one of the tools it uses for that purpose is involved in the circumvention of the law, an equally corrupt practice" Does a government fight corruption through corruption? This is a scandal which in my view is aimed at tarnishing the image of President Buhari.
The fight against Saraki, the senate president, is self destructive to the ruling party, APC. It should be noted that Saraki is one of the few Nigerians who joined party politics as a wealthy man. He wields influences beyond Kwara state, having sponsored several politicians all over the country across party divides. Beyond all that, he is the arrowhead from the PDP camp in APC in addition to the goodwill which he enjoys among his colleagues in the opposition PDP. He is therefore not a small political fry. He may return to the opposition party, PDP. if he feels threatened in the APC and he cannot do that without sweeping, as it were, a large population of his supporters and this development will put the Buhari government in a precarious position since his party will be in a minority position. Should this play out, the Buhari government will face constant difficulties with a tendency for self destruction.
The next crisis imminent in APC and which will shake the Buhari government centers on the Attorney General's portfolio. The Attorney General, AG, is constitutionally vested with powers to either prosecute or not prosecute crimes on behalf of government. With Buhari's policy on corruption, it is expected that he will appoint an incorruptible person to man that office. As politicians majority of who are corrupt, strategic on how to keep themselves off Buhari's hook, each of the contending groups in the contraption called APC wants to position its member to be appointed the AG, since that office will wield the power of life and death in the coming war against corruption. Rumors have been rife in Lagos for months that ACN must produce the AG so as to protect its members from prosecution and the PDP camp is not unmindful of the political maneuvers going on in APC'.
As has been said, the encampment of total strangers in APC' especially with the determination of the ACN camp in labeling and marginalizing the PDP camp, there will be no end to internal bickering. These are bound to create crisis of confidence, a sure recipe for factionalization and parting of ways. My fears about the Buhari government are therefore anchored on the discordant tunes which the strange bed fellows in APC' are likely to be singing which in my view are bound to constitute present and constant dangers to the Buhari government.
However, whether Buhari will succeed or not depends on how he handles each challenge. In this case, it is only time will tell.

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